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    Russian invasion prompts collapse in tourism sector

    The latest data from ForwardKeys reveals that the Russian invasion of Ukraine prompted an instant spike in flight cancellations to and from Russia.
    On February 25th, the day after the start of the invasion, every booking that was made for travel to Russia was outweighed by six cancellations of pre-existing bookings.
    The source markets exhibiting the highest cancellation rates, in order of volume, were Germany 773 per cent, France 472 per cent, Italy 152 per cent, the UK 254 per cent, India 285 per cent and Turkey 116 per cent.
    The invasion also triggered a collapse in the market for Russian outbound travel.
    Destinations which suffered the highest immediate cancellation rates, in the period February 24-26, were Cyprus, Egypt, Turkey, the UK, Armenia and Maldives.
    Prior to the outbreak of war, Russian outbound flight bookings for March, April and May, had recovered to 32 per cent of pre-pandemic levels, with some holiday hotspots doing exceptionally well. ADVERTISEMENTMexico had been leading the way with flight bookings 427 per cent ahead of 2019 levels.
    It was followed by Seychelles, Egypt ahead and the Maldives.
    For some of the countries mentioned above, such as the Seychelles, Maldives and Cyprus, Russian arrivals represent for a high percentage of all international arrivals; so, a collapse in Russian travel will have damaging consequences on their tourism-dependent economies.
    Coinciding with the collapse in international air travel, a strong recovery in domestic air travel, immediately stalled.
    Up to February 23rd, Russian domestic flight bookings for March, April and May were running 25 per cent ahead of pre-pandemic levels.
    However, new bookings fell 77 per cent, analysed on a week-on-week basis.

    Olivier Ponti, vice president, insights, ForwardKeys, said: “The outbreak of war always has a hugely damaging impact on the travel industry; and that is what we are seeing here, with mass cancellations in flight bookings to and from Russia.
    “The Russian tourism economy was beginning to revive from the pandemic; and it will now experience another substantial blow.
    “There will also be serious impacts on destinations that depend heavily on Russian visitors.
    “The current data does not yet contain the impact of sanctions, which is bound to make the picture worse.
    “Of course, should there be a cease fire and successful peace talks, the outlook for travel should improve.
    “However, while the economic damage already looks set to be dreadful; it is nothing compared to the human suffering experienced by the people in the field.”

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    WTTC: UK tourism on path to recovery in 2022

    New data from the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) shows the tourism sector in the UK is recovering.
    The industry is expected to make a £192 billion contribution to the economy this year, though this is still down by a fifth on pre-pandemic levels.
    The global tourism body forecasts a healthy recovery for the UK tourism sector if travel restrictions and “unnecessary” testing protocols remain off limits for the rest of the year.
    According to the latest research, it could also mean a net gain in jobs for the sector, with a rise of 1.7 per cent on pre-pandemic levels, resulting in some 4.3 million people being employed within tourism by the end of the year, 70,000 more than in 2019.
    This latest WTTC data will come as welcome news to the country’s battle-scarred tourism sector as it looks forward to travel returning.ADVERTISEMENTJulia Simpson, WTTC chief executive, said: “Travel to and from the UK is poised for a full recovery.
    “By the end of this year, we estimate its contribution to national economy could reach £192 billion.
    “While the UK was one of the worst hit in terms of the sector’s contribution to GDP, the future is looking positive.
    “But this will depend on the government keeping to its pledge to re-open UK Plc and not reintroducing the chaotic travel restrictions that actually had zero impact on the spread of the virus.”
    Last week, research from WTTC revealed that as the world began its recovery from pandemic, the sector’s contribution to both the global economy and employment could reach almost pre-pandemic levels this year.
    It forecasts that the global tourism’s contribution to the global economy could reach $8.6 trillion this year, just 6.4 per cent behind pre-pandemic levels.

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    ABTA celebrates as testing restrictions loosen

    ABTA says hundreds of thousands of people will be heading abroad this half term for winter sun and ski trips, as families look to make the most of the relaxation of travel rules.
    Members are reporting that Turkey, the Canary Islands, Egypt and Portugal are popular for short haul trips, while departures to Dubai, Florida, Mexico and the Caribbean have sold well for longer haul holidays.
    Ski resorts in France, Italy and Switzerland are also popular for those taking to the slopes this half term.
    A snapshot of some of the biggest airports shows 200,000 passengers are set to depart from Stansted between February 11-18, plus a further 186,000 from Gatwick, and 160,000 from Manchester, in addition to around 90,000 leaving from Luton, 55,000 from Bristol and 17,000 from East Midlands airport.
    According to Eurostar, more than 125,000 travellers are booked to travel between the UK and the continent during the school holiday.ADVERTISEMENTABTA says the removal of all tests for fully vaccinated adults and under-18s on return to the UK makes foreign travel much easier, including significant savings on the cost of tests.
    Graeme Buck, director of communications at ABTA, said: “Today’s changes to the travel rules are the start of a new chapter for the travel industry’s recovery.
    “Testing has been one of the biggest barriers to travel, so it’s hugely welcome that the process of travelling abroad is now much cheaper and easier for millions of UK holidaymakers.
    “It’s great to see so many families treating themselves to some quality time together this February half term and now that the UK’s restrictions have eased, we expect many more will feel confident to travel and will start to plan their summer break.
    “We expect to see increasing numbers of people turning to travel professionals to help them plan their trips, as they recognise their invaluable knowledge of the latest travel requirements and their expertise in finding the best holiday for them at a competitive price.”
    More Information
    As travel to the UK becomes much easier, other countries still have their own entry requirements and local measures to help prevent the spread of Covid-19.
    ABTA is advising holidaymakers to regularly check the latest requirements for their destination.

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    SPAA: No Christmas bonus for Scottish travel agents

    The plight of Scottish travel businesses has been laid bare by the Scottish Passenger Agents’ Association (SPAA), as travel agencies stand empty on what is traditionally the biggest holiday purchase day of the year.
    In pre-pandemic times, Scots flocked to book their summer holidays in the period between Christmas and New Year following the major travel operators’ adverts which are always released on Boxing Day.
    But today, when high street travel agencies open to the public after the Christmas break, enquiries and bookings are at a virtual standstill.
    Research on pre pandemic years’ booking patterns shows that the number of daily travel bookings made in all countries increased by between nine and 62 per cent in the days after Christmas, with some surging by 69 per cent in the post-Christmas week.
    Similar rises could also be seen in the first week of the new year.ADVERTISEMENTOf UK residents, 25 per cent book their main holiday four to six months in advance of departure and 28 per cent book between 7 and 12 months before.
    Joanne Dooey, president of the SPAA, said: “There’s no Christmas bonus for the travel sector this December.
    “There is no post-holiday spike for Scottish travel agents, as holidaymakers’ confidence in travel has been shattered over the last 20 months.
    “This will push travel agents who have fought tirelessly for almost two years to save their businesses to the edge.
    “In 2021, travel agencies were operating at just 22 per cent of their previous annual revenue compared to pre Covid-19 yet their fixed costs remained the same.
    “Many of our members tell us they were operating at ten per cent or less of previous years.
    “Travel agents have become administrators; rebooking and issuing refunds while receiving no revenue and no grant support to help.
    “We support those in all industries which have been told there is grant support there for them.
    “But travel agencies are being pushed out of business by stealth.
    “Restrictions around travel have been oppressively stringent, meaning people have no confidence in travelling.”
    Dooey added: “We need a structured plan to be drawn up by the Scottish government in full consultation with all aspects of the travel industry which supports the future of Scottish travel rather than allowing it to wither and die.”

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    WTTC blames UK government for slow tourism recovery

    The World Travel & Tourism Council has argued the year-on-year recovery in the UK may only claw back a third, while international travel spending continues to plummet.
    Latest research from the body shows the recovery has been severely delayed by the lack of spending from international visitors.
    WTTC blames strict travel restrictions, such as the destructive ‘traffic light’ system, for wreaking havoc on the sector.
    Now, despite its highly successful vaccine rollout, the UK is set to record further losses in inbound visitor spending than the previous year, during which international travel ground to an almost complete standstill.
    At the current rate of recovery, WTTC research shows the UK sector’s contribution to the nation’s economy could rise year on year by just under a third (32 per cent) in 2021, broadly in line with the global average of 31 per cent.ADVERTISEMENTHowever, research conducted by the global tourism body goes on to show the increase has been primarily spurred on by the recent boom in domestic travel, with domestic spending growth set to experience a year-on-year rise of 49 per cent in 2021.
    While this surge in domestic travel has provided a much-needed boost, it will not be enough to achieve a full economic recovery and save millions of jobs still under threat.
    The research reveals that international spending is predicted to plunge by nearly half on 2020 figures – one of the worst years on record for the tourism sector – making the UK one of the worst performing countries in the world.
    While other countries, such as China and the United States, are set to see a rise in inbound international travel spending this year, the UK lags behind and continues to record significant losses.
    Severe travel restrictions, ever-changing policies, and barriers to travel to the UK, such as the current requirement for visitors to take an expensive day two PCR test after arriving in the country, have had their toll.
    Julia Simpson, WTTC chief executive, said: “WTTC research shows that while the global tourism sector is beginning to recover, the UK continues to suffer big losses due to continuing travel restrictions that are tougher than the rest of Europe.
    “Despite government announcements the UK still has a red list, costly PCR tests and a requirement for day two tests which simply put people off travel.
    “Just as the world opens up the UK has more requirements for the double vaccinated than our neighbours.”

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    WTTC repeats call for traffic light system to be scrapped

    The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) has repeated its call on the UK government to finally bring an end to the “widely discredited” travel traffic light system.
    The call comes after the latest update which saw just seven countries added to the green list, with Thailand, a popular winter sun destination for holiday starved Brits, and Montenegro, added to the red list.
    Turkey, widely expected to be able to welcome British visitors stayed in no-go red, seriously damaging its travel sector.
    WTTC says both consumers and tourism businesses have lost confidence in the system.
    It condemns the endless chopping and changing of countries that causes confusion, and only benefits an unregulated market of costly test suppliers, the body said.ADVERTISEMENTThe global tourism body says planning for most businesses – and holidaymakers – had been rendered next to impossible by the 51st change announced today.
    WTTC says the time has come to ditch these disruptive updates completely and allow all those fully vaccinated to travel freely once more – unless travelling to a red-list country.
    Travel should be allowed with testing – for the unvaccinated – to ensure those who are unable to get vaccinated are not discriminated against.
    PCRs should be replaced with the more affordable antigen tests.
    However, if the UK government continues to insist on costly and unnecessary PCR tests, it should bear the cost instead of passing it on to consumers, which deters Britons from travelling.
    Costly testing is putting travel out of the reach of hard-working families and returning it to the preserve of the wealthy.
    Julia Simpson, WTTC chief executive, said: “The traffic light system is widely discredited. It puts the UK at a disadvantage and is squandering the vaccine dividend.
    “This is the 51st change in a baffling array of travel bans. Holidaymakers are confused and frustrated.
    The UK government is seriously damaging the tourism sector which in turn supports thousands of businesses and jobs.
    “The UK government appears to have no exit plan.
    “The Global Travel Taskforce, set up to oversee these haphazard travel restrictions must set out a clear strategy to recover normal travel.
    “Nowhere should be off limits to anyone in the UK who is fully vaccinated, except in exceptional circumstances.”

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    WTTC calls on USA to approve AstraZeneca vaccine

    The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) is calling upon the US government to urgently speed up approval of the AstraZeneca vaccine to help restore vital transatlantic travel.
    The Centre for Disease Control (CDC), the main health authority in the US, this week approved the Pfizer vaccine.
    However, it still does not currently recognise AstraZeneca as an approved Covid-19 vaccine.
    Even if the Biden Administration allows borders to reopen, the non-recognition of AstraZeneca will be a significant barrier to transatlantic travel between the UK and the US, the WTTC said.
    America will effectively remain off-limits to the majority of Brits – and many millions more around the world – who are vaccinated with the AstraZeneca drug.ADVERTISEMENTAstraZeneca has the largest global reach of all current vaccines and has currently been administered across 176 countries and territories, highlighting the importance of its approval in the US.
    WTTC says CDC non-recognition will continue to seriously depress consumer demand and prevent any meaningful revival of transatlantic travel from the UK to the US.
    It will also continue the serious knock-on effects throughout the tourism sector on both sides of the Atlantic.
    United States carrier JetBlue recently launched its first transatlantic flights from New York to London, while Aer Lingus, British Airways, Virgin Atlantic and American Airlines are all due to add new routes or extra capacity to cater to increased demand from the US to the UK.
    Virginia Messina, WTTC senior vice president, said: “It’s crucial the US authorities step forward to formally approve the AstraZeneca vaccine as a matter of urgency to enable cross-border mobility and the return of transatlantic travel between the UK and US.
    “Unless they give it the green light then the US will effectively remain closed to the vast majority of UK visitors and the many millions around the world who are double-jabbed with the AstraZeneca vaccine.
    “This will leave airlines, cruise lines, tour operators, hotels and the entire tourism infrastructure, which depends upon transatlantic travel, in significant trouble for the foreseeable future.”
    WTTC warns that the current CDC approval process could take months to give AstraZeneca the all clear.

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    Kew Gardens tops England visitor attraction list

    The Annual Visitor Attractions Survey from VisitEngland shows the severe impact on visitor attractions from the Covid-19 pandemic.
    Released today, the study shows with a 65 per cent drop in visitors overall compared to 2019 and a 55 per cent decline in revenue.
    These declines were driven by site closures associated with lockdowns and opening restrictions and the significant contraction of inbound and domestic tourism in 2020.
    The fall in visitor numbers last year to England’s attractions was most marked for museums and galleries, other historic properties and places of worship, many of which rely on overseas visitors.
    Outdoor attractions such as country parks, wildlife attractions/zoos and gardens showed the smallest decreases.
    Overall rural attractions fared best last year with admissions dropping by 47 per cent compared to a 74 per cent decline for urban.
    Indoor attractions saw a larger decline in admissions in 2020 than outdoor with decreases of 76 per cent and 43 per cent respectively, partly due to lockdown restrictions delaying their reopening but also people being more reluctant to visit indoor attractions.ADVERTISEMENTRoyal Botanic Gardens, Kew, was the most visited paid for attraction in England last year with 1.2 million visitors, the first time a garden has taken the top spot, although numbers were still down almost half on 2019, followed by Chester Zoo and RHS Garden Wisley.
    The Tower of London, which had ranked first since 2009, saw an 85 per cent decrease from 3 million visitors in 2019 to 448,000 in 2020, dropping to tenth place.
    Topping the list of free attractions in England was the Tate Modern with 1.4 million visitors, a 77 per cent drop on 2019, followed by the Natural History Museum with 1.3 million, a 76 per cent drop, and the British Museum 1.28 million, an 80 per cent drop.
    Tourism minister, Nigel Huddleston, said: “I know what a challenging year it’s been for our brilliant tourism, leisure and hospitality sectors.
    “Tourism is one of our country’s greatest assets, driving our economy and delivering jobs across our communities.”
    The survey, which gathered information from 1,301 English attractions, also showed the impact from the absence of international visitors in 2020 with a drop of 93 per cent in overseas visitor numbers.
    Image: Philippe Gras

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